What counts as MRR?
MRR is recurring revenue normalized to one month. Monthly plans use the monthly price. Annual plans use annual contract value divided by 12.
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Model current MRR, ARR, churn, trial conversion, expansion, discounts, and break-even signups in one deterministic worksheet.
Revenue model
42 customers at $49 monthly ARPA becomes 62 projected customers after churn and trial conversion.
Customer movement for the modeled period.
Replace churn before chasing growth.
trial signups need to convert at 18% to replace about 2 churned customer(s).
Projected MRR when conversion and churn move around the base case.
| Churn | Conversion | Projected MRR | Net MRR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low churn (3.0%) | Low conv. (13.5%) | $2,790 | $732 |
| Low churn (3.0%) | Base conv. (18.0%) | $3,055 | $997 |
| Low churn (3.0%) | High conv. (22.5%) | $3,319 | $1,261 |
| Base churn (4.0%) | Low conv. (13.5%) | $2,769 | $711 |
| Base churn (4.0%) | Base conv. (18.0%) | $3,034 | $976 |
| Base churn (4.0%) | High conv. (22.5%) | $3,299 | $1,241 |
| High churn (5.0%) | Low conv. (13.5%) | $2,749 | $691 |
| High churn (5.0%) | Base conv. (18.0%) | $3,014 | $956 |
| High churn (5.0%) | High conv. (22.5%) | $3,278 | $1,220 |
MRR is recurring revenue normalized to one month. Monthly plans use the monthly price. Annual plans use annual contract value divided by 12.
Use the expected customer churn for the period you are modeling. The calculator subtracts those customers before adding converted trials.
The helper shows how many trial signups must convert to replace the revenue lost to churn and keep projected MRR from dropping.
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If the MRR math looks weak, score the pricing page before you drive more traffic to the offer.
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Turn the revenue model into a launch checklist for analytics, billing, onboarding, lifecycle email, and distribution.
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Before chasing revenue targets, check that the buyer pain, distribution path, and willingness to pay are real.
Zero To Shipped gives you the SaaS starter kit and launch systems to turn a validated revenue model into a working product.